Mergers and Acquisitions, Portfolio Management, Derivatives, Working Capital Management and International Financial Management
2. Portfolio management (CAPM, APT) and derivatives: options, forwards and futures
Portfolio management is the selection and revision of a set of securities to meet an investor's return objective at an acceptable risk: setting objectives and constraints (return, risk tolerance, horizon, liquidity, tax), asset allocation (the decision that explains most of return variation), security selection, execution, monitoring and rebalancing, and performance evaluation. Passive management holds a diversified index portfolio on the efficient-market premise; active management seeks alpha through market timing and stock picking. Markowitz's mean-variance model gives the efficient frontier; Sharpe's single-index model simplifies it by relating every security to the market alone, so a portfolio's beta is the weighted average of its constituents' betas and its systematic risk is βp^2 σm^2; the capital market line prices efficient portfolios by total risk, the security market line (CAPM) prices every asset by beta, and the arbitrage pricing theory prices by several factor sensitivities. A portfolio's return is the weighted average of returns; its risk is not, because of correlation. Portfolio revision uses constant-mix or constant-proportion strategies; performance is judged by the Sharpe, Treynor and Jensen measures and by attribution to allocation and selection. India's mutual funds — regulated by SEBI's 1996 regulations, classified since 2017 into equity, debt, hybrid, solution and other schemes — are the retail vehicle, with the net asset value per unit as the price.
| Instrument | Definition | Payoff and pricing | Points tested |
|---|---|---|---|
| Call option | The right, not the obligation, to buy the underlying at the strike (exercise) price on or before expiry, for a premium; European (at expiry only) or American (any time) | Buyer's payoff at expiry = max(S − K, 0) − premium; writer's payoff is the mirror image, premium less max(S − K, 0); in the money when S > K, at the money when S = K, out of the money when S < K | Buyer's loss is limited to the premium, gain unlimited; writer's gain limited, loss unlimited (covered call caps it by owning the stock) |
| Put option | The right to sell the underlying at the strike on or before expiry | Buyer's payoff = max(K − S, 0) − premium; in the money when S < K | A protective put (stock plus put) insures a holding; buyer's maximum gain is K − premium |
| Option value and pricing | Premium = intrinsic value (the in-the-money amount) + time value; time value decays to zero at expiry | Binomial model (Cox, Ross and Rubinstein, 1979) — risk-neutral probabilities on a lattice; Black-Scholes-Merton (1973) for a European call: C = S N(d1) − K e^(−rT) N(d2), with five inputs — spot price, strike, time to expiry, risk-free rate, volatility (dividends as a sixth); put-call parity C + K e^(−rT) = P + S | A call rises with S, T, r and volatility and falls with K; a put rises with K and volatility and falls with S and r; the Greeks — delta, gamma, theta, vega, rho — measure these sensitivities; Scholes and Merton received the 1997 Nobel |
| Strategies | Covered call, protective put, straddle (call and put at the same strike — bet on volatility), strangle (different strikes), bull and bear spreads, butterfly, collar | A long straddle profits when the price moves far in either direction | Payoff diagrams are the question form: identify the strategy from the graph |
| Forward contract | A private, customised agreement to buy or sell an asset at a set price on a future date; over the counter; settled at maturity; both parties obliged | Long payoff = S(T) − F; forward price by cost of carry F = S(1 + r)^T, or S e^(rT), adjusted for storage and yield | Counterparty (default) risk and illiquidity are its weaknesses; the currency forward is the commonest hedging tool |
| Futures contract | A standardised forward traded on an exchange — standard size, expiry and quality — with the clearing house as counterparty to both sides, initial and maintenance margins, and daily marking to market | Same payoff as a forward but realised daily; basis = spot − futures, converging to zero at expiry; index, stock, currency, commodity and interest-rate futures | Uses: hedging (short hedge by a producer, long hedge by a consumer), speculation, arbitrage; India: NSE index futures from June 2000, index options 2001, stock options and futures 2001, currency futures 2008; SEBI regulates under the Securities Contracts (Regulation) Act 1956; commodity derivatives moved to SEBI in 2015 |
3. Working capital management: determinants, cash, inventory, receivables, payables and factoring
Working capital is the capital invested in current assets — gross working capital — or current assets less current liabilities — net working capital; permanent (core) working capital stays invested through the cycle and temporary (fluctuating) working capital rises and falls with seasons. The operating cycle is the time from cash paid for materials to cash collected from customers — raw material days + work-in-progress days + finished goods days + debtor days — and the cash conversion cycle subtracts creditor days. Its determinants are the nature and size of the business (trading firms need more than utilities), the length of the production cycle, seasonality, growth, credit policy toward customers and from suppliers, operating efficiency and inventory turnover, price levels and inflation, dividend policy, and the availability of credit. Policies trade liquidity for profitability: a conservative policy holds large current assets financed long-term (safe, costly), an aggressive policy holds few and finances them short-term (cheap, risky), and the matching or hedging policy finances permanent needs long-term and temporary needs short-term. Indian bank finance followed the Tandon Committee (1975 — three methods of lending, with the maximum permissible bank finance as the second method: bank finances 75% of the working-capital gap and the firm 25% of current assets), the Chore Committee (1979 — cash credit tightened, second method made the norm), the Marathe Committee (1983), the Nayak Committee (1991 — 20% of projected turnover for small units) and the Kannan Committee (1997), after which the RBI freed banks to assess working capital themselves.
| Component | Objective and motives | Models and techniques | Formula or figure |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cash | Hold enough to meet the transaction, precautionary and speculative motives (Keynes) and compensating balances, and no more — idle cash earns nothing | Cash budget (receipts and payments forecast); Baumol's EOQ model of cash (1952) — optimum conversion size C = √(2FT/i), F the cost per conversion, T the annual need, i the interest forgone; Miller-Orr model (1966) — upper and lower control limits with a return point when flows are random; speeding collections (concentration banking, lock-box, electronic transfer) and slowing disbursements (playing the float); investing surpluses in treasury bills, commercial paper, liquid funds | Annual need 36 lakh, cost per sale of securities 500, interest 6%: C = √(2 × 500 × 36,00,000 ÷ 0.06) = √(6 × 10^10) ≈ 2,44,949, about 15 conversions a year |
| Inventory | Balance ordering cost against carrying cost while avoiding stock-outs; raw materials, work-in-progress, finished goods, stores and spares | Economic order quantity Q = √(2AO/C) — A annual demand, O ordering cost per order, C carrying cost per unit per year; reorder level = maximum usage × maximum lead time (or average usage × lead time + safety stock); minimum, maximum and danger levels; ABC analysis (value), VED (criticality), FSN (movement), HML, SDE, XYZ; just-in-time and kanban; perpetual inventory and continuous stock-taking; inventory turnover ratio; economic batch quantity for production | A = 10,000 units, O = 200, C = 4: Q = √(2 × 10,000 × 200 ÷ 4) = √10,00,000 = 1,000 units, 10 orders a year; at EOQ total ordering cost equals total carrying cost (2,000 each) |
| Receivables | Grant credit that wins sales worth more than the carrying, bad-debt and collection costs it causes | Credit policy — standards (the five Cs: character, capacity, capital, collateral, conditions; credit scoring), terms (period and cash discount, '2/10 net 30'), collection effort; monitoring by average collection period, ageing schedule, debtors turnover; incremental analysis of a relaxed policy — added contribution against added investment and bad debts; credit insurance | Cost of forgoing '2/10 net 30' = 2/98 × 365/20 ≈ 37.2% a year — a customer who can borrow cheaper should take the discount |
| Payables | Use trade credit as spontaneous finance without damaging supplier relations or forgoing valuable discounts | Stretching payables within terms, evaluating discounts by the same formula, creditors turnover and payment period, MSME payments within 45 days under the MSMED Act with tax disallowance beyond it | Payables are a source of funds; a longer payment period shortens the cash cycle |
| Factoring | Sale of receivables to a factor who advances 75–90% immediately, collects the debts and charges interest and a commission; with recourse (seller bears bad debts) or without recourse (factor bears them) | Services — finance, collection, ledger administration, credit protection, advisory; forfaiting is the export variant for medium-term receivables, always without recourse; bill discounting is the older alternative; the Factoring Regulation Act 2011 (amended 2021 to let more NBFCs factor) and TReDS platforms (2017) for MSME receivables | Kalyanasundaram Committee (1988) recommended factoring in India; SBI Factors (1991) was the first |
4. International financial management and the foreign exchange market
The foreign exchange market is the over-the-counter, round-the-clock market in which currencies are traded — the largest financial market — with commercial banks, central banks, corporations, brokers, speculators and arbitrageurs as participants, in the spot segment (settlement in two business days), the forward segment (settlement at a future date at a rate fixed now) and the swap segment (a spot and an offsetting forward). Quotations are direct (home currency per unit of foreign — 83 rupees per dollar, the Indian convention) or indirect (foreign per unit of home); dealers quote a bid (buy) and an ask (sell) with the spread as their margin; cross rates are derived through a third currency. A forward rate above spot is a premium on the foreign currency, below spot a discount, and the annualised premium is (F − S)/S × 12/n × 100. The parity relations tie rates together: purchasing power parity (the exchange rate moves to offset inflation differentials — the law of one price, the Big Mac index), interest rate parity (the forward premium equals the interest differential, enforced by covered interest arbitrage: F/S = (1 + i_home)/(1 + i_foreign)), the international Fisher effect (nominal interest differentials predict spot changes) and the unbiased forward rate hypothesis. India moved from a pegged rupee to the Liberalised Exchange Rate Management System in 1992, to a market-determined managed float in 1993 and to current-account convertibility in 1994; FEMA 1999 replaced FERA 1973; the RBI intervenes to curb volatility, and the dollar-rupee rate is the reference rate it publishes daily.
| Topic | Content |
|---|---|
| Types of exposure | Transaction exposure — settled contracts in foreign currency change value before payment; translation (accounting) exposure — consolidating foreign subsidiaries' statements at changed rates (Ind AS 21); economic (operating) exposure — the effect of unexpected rate changes on future cash flows and competitive position |
| Hedging techniques | External: forward contracts, currency futures, currency options (the right without the obligation — preferred for uncertain flows), currency swaps, money-market hedge (borrow in one currency, convert, invest in the other). Internal: netting of intra-group flows, matching receipts and payments, leading and lagging payments, invoicing in home currency, pricing and sourcing adjustments |
| International capital budgeting | Project cash flows in foreign currency converted at forecast rates and discounted at the home rate, or discounted at the foreign rate and converted at spot; adjustments for blocked funds, withholding taxes, remittance restrictions, political risk (expropriation, insured through MIGA or ECGC), and the parent-versus-project perspective; adjusted present value |
| International financing | Euro-currency and Euro-bond markets (currency held outside its home country — Eurodollars), foreign bonds (Yankee, Samurai, Bulldog, Masala bonds in rupees issued abroad), global and American depository receipts (Indian shares held by a depository and traded abroad — Infosys on Nasdaq 1999), external commercial borrowings under RBI's framework, foreign currency convertible bonds, syndicated loans; benchmark rates moved from LIBOR to SOFR and other risk-free rates by 2023 |
| Institutions and regulation | The RBI administers FEMA and the Liberalised Remittance Scheme (2,50,000 dollars a year per resident); FEDAI sets interbank conduct; the Clearing Corporation of India settles forex; India's reserves are held in currencies, gold, SDRs and the IMF reserve position; the IMF's SDR basket has five currencies since the renminbi's inclusion in 2016 |
Key takeaways
- Absorption keeps one company, amalgamation makes a new one; mergers are horizontal, vertical, conglomerate or congeneric; synergy is V(AB) − V(A) − V(B) and the acquirer's NPV is synergy less premium; an LBO is debt-financed and an MBO is by insiders; SEBI's takeover code triggers an open offer for 26% at 25% voting rights, with 5% creeping a year.
- A portfolio's beta is the weighted average of its constituents' betas; CAPM prices by beta, APT by several factors; a call pays max(S − K, 0), a put max(K − S, 0); Black-Scholes has five inputs and put-call parity is C + K e^(−rT) = P + S.
- Forwards are private, customised and settled at maturity; futures are exchange-traded, standardised, margined and marked to market daily; F = S(1 + r)^T by cost of carry; NSE's index futures began in 2000.
- The operating cycle is inventory days plus debtor days, and the cash cycle subtracts creditor days; EOQ = √(2AO/C); Baumol is the EOQ of cash and Miller-Orr its random-flow version; forgoing '2/10 net 30' costs about 37% a year; Tandon's second method is the MPBF; factoring without recourse shifts bad debts to the factor.
- India quotes rupees per dollar (direct); a forward above spot is a premium; interest rate parity makes the higher-interest currency trade at a forward discount; exposures are transaction, translation and economic; India's rupee has been a managed float since 1993 under FEMA 1999.
Practice questions (9)
Attempt each one before opening the answer. Every explanation names the tempting wrong option as well as the right one, because that is where marks are lost.
A merger between a cement manufacturer and its limestone supplier is an example of:
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Answer: A — Vertical (backward) merger
Combining with a supplier is backward vertical integration; with a distributor or customer it would be forward. Horizontal joins competitors, conglomerate joins unrelated businesses, congeneric joins related products or markets without a buyer-seller link.Under the SEBI (Substantial Acquisition of Shares and Takeovers) Regulations, 2011, an acquirer who crosses 25% of the voting rights in a listed target must make an open offer for at least:
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Answer: A — 26% of the target's shares
The 2011 code raised the trigger from 15% to 25% and the minimum offer from 20% to 26%; between 25% and 75% creeping acquisition is limited to 5% a year, and the 25% minimum public shareholding caps holdings at 75%.A takeover defence in which the target company arranges to be acquired by a friendlier company instead of the hostile bidder is called:
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Answer: A — White knight
The white knight rescues the target. A poison pill issues cheap shares to dilute the raider, a golden parachute pays executives generous severance on a change of control, and the crown-jewel defence sells the asset the raider wants.An investor buys a call option with a strike price of 100 rupees for a premium of 8 rupees. If the share is at 115 rupees at expiry, the investor's net profit per share is:
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Answer: A — 7 rupees
Payoff = max(S − K, 0) − premium = (115 − 100) − 8 = 7. Fifteen is the intrinsic value before the premium; −8 is the loss if the share ends at or below 100; the break-even is 108.Which feature distinguishes a futures contract from a forward contract?
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Answer: A — It is standardised, exchange-traded and marked to market daily through a clearing house
Standardisation, exchange trading, margins and daily settlement define futures; customisation, maturity settlement and counterparty risk define forwards. A right without an obligation is an option, not a futures contract.Annual demand for a component is 10,000 units, ordering cost is 200 rupees per order and carrying cost is 4 rupees per unit per year. The economic order quantity is:
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Answer: A — 1,000 units
EOQ = √(2AO/C) = √(2 × 10,000 × 200 ÷ 4) = √10,00,000 = 1,000 units, giving 10 orders a year; at this quantity annual ordering cost and annual carrying cost are equal at 2,000 rupees each.The Tandon Committee's second method of lending for working capital requires the borrower to finance from long-term sources:
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Answer: A — 25% of total current assets
Method one: 25% of the working capital gap from long-term funds. Method two — the maximum permissible bank finance norm after the Chore Committee: 25% of total current assets, giving a current ratio of 1.33. Method three: the whole of core current assets plus 25% of the rest. Twenty per cent of turnover is the Nayak Committee's norm for small units.In factoring 'without recourse', the risk of bad debts on the assigned receivables is borne by:
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Answer: A — The factor
Without recourse the factor provides credit protection and charges a higher commission; with recourse the client must make good any debt the factor cannot collect. Forfaiting of export receivables is always without recourse.According to interest rate parity, if the one-year interest rate is 7% in India and 3% in the United States and the spot rate is 83 rupees per dollar, the one-year forward rate should be approximately:
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Answer: A — 86.22 rupees per dollar — the dollar at a forward premium
F = S × (1 + i_rupee)/(1 + i_dollar) = 83 × 1.07/1.03 = 86.22. The higher-interest currency, the rupee, must be cheaper forward — so the dollar is at a premium — or covered interest arbitrage would yield a riskless profit. Inverting the ratio gives 79.90; adding the full 7% gives 88.81.