Comparative Political Analysis II: Constitutionalism and Emergency Powers, Democratisation, Development Theories, Power Structures and Political Actors
2. Democratisation: transition and consolidation
- Samuel Huntington's 'waves' of democratisation (The Third Wave, 1991) — democratisation comes in historical waves followed by reverse waves: the first wave (19th century to 1920s), a reverse wave (1920s-40s, rise of fascism), the second wave (post-WWII decolonization and Allied victory), a second reverse wave (1960s-70s military coups), and the 'third wave' beginning with Portugal's 1974 Carnation Revolution, spreading through Southern Europe, Latin America, Asia and post-communist Europe.
- O'Donnell and Schmitter's transition/consolidation distinction — transition is the uncertain interval between an authoritarian regime's liberalisation and a new regime's establishment, driven by elite pacts and splits ('hardliners' versus 'softliners'); consolidation is the harder, longer task of making the new democracy 'the only game in town' — accepted by all major actors, including the military, as the only legitimate framework, rather than merely an interregnum awaiting reversal.
3. Development: four rival theories
| Theory | Claim |
|---|---|
| Modernization theory (W.W. Rostow, Seymour Martin Lipset) | All societies pass through the same linear 'stages of economic growth' (Rostow: traditional society → preconditions for take-off → take-off → drive to maturity → age of mass consumption) toward a Western-modelled modernity; Lipset's modernization thesis specifically ties higher economic development to a higher probability of stable democracy. |
| Dependency theory (Andre Gunder Frank, Raúl Prebisch) | Underdevelopment is not a stage every economy passes through but is actively produced by the same historical process that developed the West: a 'core' of developed metropolitan economies systematically extracts surplus from a dependent 'periphery' through unequal exchange, so the periphery's poverty and the core's wealth are two sides of one relationship, not separate trajectories. |
| World-systems theory (Immanuel Wallerstein) | Extends dependency theory into a single world capitalist system with three tiers rather than two — core, semi-periphery (an intermediate zone that can rise or fall between the other two) and periphery — analysed as one integrated economic system since roughly the 'long 16th century', rather than as separate national economies. |
| Underdevelopment theory / development and democracy debate | The broader question this unit closes with: does development cause democracy (Lipset's modernization thesis) or does the causal arrow run the other way, or is the relationship confounded by other factors (colonial legacy, resource endowments) entirely — a live, unresolved debate rather than a settled finding. |
4. Structures of power, and political actors and processes
- Marx's ruling class — whoever owns the means of production controls the state, which functions to secure that class's interests (met again in this unit's state-theory debate); C. Wright Mills's 'power elite' (The Power Elite, 1956) — a small, interlocking elite spanning corporate, military and political leadership, bound by shared background and interest, dominates modern American democracy behind its formally pluralist facade; Joseph Schumpeter's 'democratic elitism' — democracy is realistically just competing elites seeking the electorate's vote (met in Unit 1), which normalises elite rule as democracy's actual, workable form rather than its betrayal.
- Electoral and party systems — first-past-the-post (FPTP, plurality in single-member constituencies) versus proportional representation (PR, seats allocated by vote share) versus mixed systems combine differently with Maurice Duverger's law: FPTP tends toward a two-party system (small parties are squeezed out because voters avoid 'wasting' votes), while PR tends to sustain multi-party systems.
- Interest groups, social movements, NGOs and revolutions — interest groups (sectional/promotional) lobby within the existing system for specific policy; 'new social movements' (met in Unit 1's Education-adjacent theory but core here) organise around identity and post-material values rather than class; NGOs and civil-society campaigns supplement or substitute for weak state provision; and Theda Skocpol's structural theory of revolutions (States and Social Revolutions, 1979) argues revolutions succeed not chiefly because of ideology or revolutionary organisation but because of a prior structural crisis of the state itself (fiscal crisis, military defeat, elite fracture) that opens the opportunity.
Key takeaways
- Constitutionalism limits and divides power through the rule of law and judicial independence, and Schmitt's 'sovereign is he who decides on the exception' names emergency powers as constitutionalism's own built-in trade-off, not an external flaw.
- Huntington's three waves and two reverse waves of democratisation, and O'Donnell/Schmitter's transition-versus-consolidation distinction, structure how democratization is studied.
- Modernization theory (Rostow, Lipset) sees development as a universal linear path toward Western modernity; dependency theory (Frank) and world-systems theory (Wallerstein) instead argue underdevelopment is produced by the core's extraction from the periphery.
- Mills's power elite (institutional position) is distinct from Marx's ruling class (ownership); Duverger's law links FPTP to two-party and PR to multi-party systems; Skocpol's structural theory locates revolution's cause in a prior state crisis, not chiefly ideology.
- New social movements, interest groups and NGOs each engage political processes differently — identity/post-material organising, sectional lobbying, and supplementing weak state provision respectively.
Practice questions (9)
Attempt each one before opening the answer. Every explanation names the tempting wrong option as well as the right one, because that is where marks are lost.
Carl Schmitt's statement 'sovereign is he who decides on the exception' identifies which built-in tension of constitutionalism?
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Answer: A — Emergency powers require some authority to suspend the constraints constitutionalism otherwise imposes
Schmitt's provocation is specifically about the exception/emergency, not about development, dependency or electoral systems.Samuel Huntington's 'third wave' of democratisation is conventionally said to begin with:
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Answer: A — Portugal's 1974 Carnation Revolution
Huntington dates the third wave from Portugal 1974, spreading through Southern Europe, Latin America, Asia and post-communist Europe; the Berlin Wall's fall (1989) is within, not the start of, this wave.O'Donnell and Schmitter's concept of democratic 'consolidation' refers to:
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Answer: A — Democracy becoming accepted by all major actors as the only legitimate framework
Consolidation is the harder, later stage of making democracy 'the only game in town'; the uncertain interval itself is transition, and the other options describe dependency theory and Skocpol.W.W. Rostow's 'stages of economic growth' describes development as:
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Answer: A — A universal linear path every society passes through toward modernity
Rostow's is the modernization-theory account of universal linear stages; the other options describe Frank's dependency theory, Wallerstein's world-systems theory, and Skocpol's theory of revolution.Andre Gunder Frank's dependency theory argues that underdevelopment in the periphery is:
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Answer: A — Actively produced by the same process that developed the core
Frank's specific and testable claim is that core and periphery are two sides of one relationship, the opposite of modernization theory's 'natural stage' account.Immanuel Wallerstein's world-systems theory adds which tier to Frank's core-periphery model?
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Answer: A — Semi-periphery
Semi-periphery is Wallerstein's own addition, an intermediate zone that can rise or fall between core and periphery; the other options belong to O'Donnell, Gramsci and Mills.C. Wright Mills's 'power elite' (1956) is defined chiefly by:
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Answer: A — Interlocking position atop corporate, military and political hierarchies
Mills's is an institutional-position theory, distinct from Marx's ownership-based ruling class and Schumpeter's electoral definition of democratic elitism.Maurice Duverger's law associates first-past-the-post electoral systems with:
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Answer: A — A tendency toward a two-party system
Duverger's law links FPTP to two-party outcomes because voters avoid 'wasting' votes on small parties; proportional representation instead sustains multi-party systems.Theda Skocpol's structural theory of revolutions (1979) argues that revolutions succeed chiefly because of:
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Answer: A — A prior structural crisis of the state, such as fiscal crisis or elite fracture
Skocpol's structural theory specifically de-emphasises ideology/organisation alone, locating the cause instead in a prior crisis of the state itself.