International Business: Globalisation, Trade Theories, Balance of Payments, Foreign Investment, WTO, Trade Procedures and Documentation, IMF and World Bank
2. Balance of payments and foreign direct investment
The balance of payments (BoP) is a systematic record of all economic transactions between the residents of a country and the rest of the world in a period, kept by double entry so that it always balances in the accounting sense. The current account records trade in goods (the balance of trade, visible), trade in services (invisibles: software, travel, transport), primary income (interest, dividends, compensation of employees) and secondary income (current transfers, chiefly remittances). The capital and financial account records foreign direct investment, portfolio investment, loans and banking capital, and external assistance. Errors and omissions reconcile; the overall balance is met by a change in official reserves. A current-account deficit financed by capital inflows is the Indian norm; a BoP crisis arises when reserves cannot cover the gap, as in 1991 when India pledged gold and turned to the IMF. Disequilibrium is corrected by devaluation or depreciation, monetary and fiscal contraction, exchange controls, tariffs and export promotion; the Marshall–Lerner condition says devaluation improves the trade balance only if the sum of the export and import demand elasticities exceeds one, and the J-curve describes the initial worsening before improvement.
| Item | Account |
|---|---|
| Export of software services | Current — services (invisibles), credit |
| Remittance from a worker in the Gulf | Current — secondary income (private transfers), credit |
| Dividend paid to a foreign shareholder | Current — primary income, debit |
| A foreign company sets up a factory in India | Financial — foreign direct investment, credit |
| An FII buys shares on the NSE | Financial — portfolio investment, credit |
| Crude oil import | Current — merchandise (visible), debit |
| External commercial borrowing by an Indian firm | Financial — loans, credit |
Foreign direct investment (FDI) is investment giving a lasting interest and control — by international convention 10% or more of voting stock — through greenfield projects, acquisitions or joint ventures; foreign portfolio investment (FPI) is a passive holding of securities with no control, quicker to enter and to flee. Dunning's eclectic (OLI) paradigm says a firm invests abroad when it has ownership advantages, the location offers advantages, and internalisation beats licensing. For the host country FDI brings capital, technology and managerial know-how, employment, exports and competition, but may crowd out local firms, repatriate profits, transfer-price away tax, and raise sovereignty and environmental concerns. India permits FDI through the automatic route (no prior approval; report to RBI under FEMA 1999) and the government route (prior approval of the administrative ministry after the FIPB was abolished in 2017); the Consolidated FDI Policy is issued by the Department for Promotion of Industry and Internal Trade (DPIIT). Sectoral caps run from 100% in most manufacturing to lower caps in sensitive sectors, and a few sectors — lottery, gambling, chit funds, real estate trading, tobacco manufacturing, atomic energy — are prohibited; Press Note 3 of 2020 requires government approval for investment from countries sharing a land border with India.
3. The World Trade Organization and international trade procedures and documentation
The General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade (GATT, 1947, 23 founding members including India) governed trade through eight negotiating rounds; the Uruguay Round (1986–94) concluded at Marrakesh created the World Trade Organization, which began on 1 January 1995 with headquarters in Geneva. The WTO had 164 members from 2016 and, with Comoros and Timor-Leste joining in 2024, has 166. Its principles are non-discrimination through most-favoured-nation treatment (a concession to one member extends to all) and national treatment (imported goods treated like domestic once inside), freer trade through negotiation, predictability through binding of tariffs, fair competition (rules on dumping and subsidies) and special treatment for developing countries. Its agreements cover goods (GATT 1994, Agreement on Agriculture, SPS, TBT, TRIMs, anti-dumping, safeguards), services (GATS) and intellectual property (TRIPS), with a Dispute Settlement Body whose panel and Appellate Body rulings are binding — though the Appellate Body has been non-functional since December 2019 for want of quorum. The Ministerial Conference, meeting at least every two years, is the top decision-making body: Doha 2001 launched the Doha Development Agenda; Bali 2013 the Trade Facilitation Agreement (in force 2017); Nairobi 2015 abolished agricultural export subsidies; Geneva MC12 in June 2022 agreed on fisheries subsidies, the pandemic response and a TRIPS waiver on vaccines; Abu Dhabi MC13 in February–March 2024 ended with the e-commerce moratorium extended and no agriculture deal. India's stands: the peace clause on public stockholding for food security, opposition to non-trade issues, and resistance to the e-commerce moratorium.
- Registration — obtain an Importer-Exporter Code (IEC) from the DGFT (now the PAN itself, since 2017 under GST), register with an Export Promotion Council for a Registration-cum-Membership Certificate (RCMC), and with GST.
- Enquiry, quotation and contract — the pro forma invoice is the quotation; the buyer's purchase order and the exporter's confirmation form the sale contract, fixing the Incoterm, payment term and delivery.
- Payment security — a letter of credit (LC) opened by the importer's bank, governed by UCP 600 (ICC, 2007): the bank pays against compliant documents, not goods; types are revocable/irrevocable, confirmed, sight/usance, transferable, back-to-back, revolving, red clause; alternatives are advance payment, documents against payment (D/P), documents against acceptance (D/A) and open account, in decreasing safety for the exporter.
- Pre-shipment — packing credit finance from a bank, pre-shipment inspection where required, marine insurance, and export credit insurance from ECGC (1957).
- Customs clearance — the exporter (through a customs broker) files the shipping bill electronically on ICEGATE; customs give 'let export' order; for imports the equivalent is the bill of entry.
- Shipment and documents — the carrier issues the bill of lading (sea) or airway bill (air); the exporter assembles the commercial invoice, packing list, certificate of origin (from a chamber of commerce or EPC; preferential certificates for FTA benefit), insurance policy, inspection certificate and bill of exchange, and presents them to the bank for negotiation under the LC.
- Realisation and incentives — export proceeds must be realised and repatriated within nine months under FEMA; the exporter then claims duty drawback, RoDTEP or scheme benefits.
| Term | Seller delivers when | Note |
|---|---|---|
| EXW (ex works) | Goods placed at seller's premises | Minimum obligation for seller |
| FCA (free carrier) | Handed to the buyer's carrier at a named place | Any mode; 2020 allows on-board bill of lading under FCA |
| FOB (free on board) | Goods on board the vessel at the port of shipment | Sea only; buyer pays freight and insurance |
| CFR (cost and freight) | On board; seller pays freight to destination port; risk passes at shipment | Sea only; no insurance obligation |
| CIF (cost, insurance and freight) | As CFR plus seller buys minimum insurance | Sea only; India's import values are recorded CIF, exports FOB |
| CPT / CIP | Carriage (and insurance) paid to a named place, any mode | CIP requires all-risks cover under 2020 rules |
| DAP / DPU / DDP | Delivered at place / unloaded / duty paid | DDP is maximum obligation for seller; DPU replaced DAT in 2020 |
India's Foreign Trade Policy 2023 (notified 31 March 2023, effective 1 April 2023, no sunset date, amended as needed) rests on four pillars: incentive to remission, export promotion through collaboration (districts as export hubs, towns of export excellence), ease of doing business (paperless, automated approvals) and emerging areas (e-commerce exports, SCOMET). Its instruments are the Remission of Duties and Taxes on Exported Products (RoDTEP, from 1 January 2021, WTO-compatible replacement of MEIS, refunding embedded taxes not otherwise rebated), duty drawback, Advance Authorisation (duty-free inputs for export production), the Export Promotion Capital Goods (EPCG) scheme (zero-duty capital goods against an export obligation of six times the duty saved in six years), Special Economic Zones (SEZ Act 2005: duty-free enclaves treated as foreign territory for trade operations) and Export Oriented Units, and status holder recognition (one to five star). The Directorate General of Foreign Trade (DGFT) under the Ministry of Commerce administers the policy under the Foreign Trade (Development and Regulation) Act 1992.
4. International monetary institutions: the IMF and the World Bank Group
The Bretton Woods conference of July 1944 (New Hampshire, 44 nations, Keynes and White) created the International Monetary Fund and the International Bank for Reconstruction and Development, both headquartered in Washington and both with India as a founder member. The IMF, operating from 1945 with 190 members, promotes monetary cooperation, exchange stability and orderly exchange arrangements and lends to members in balance-of-payments difficulty; each member's quota (in SDRs) fixes its subscription, voting power and access to finance, and the Articles were amended in 1978 (Second Amendment) to legalise floating after the Bretton Woods par-value system collapsed in 1971–73. The Special Drawing Right (1969) is the IMF's reserve asset, valued on a basket of five currencies since 1 October 2016: the US dollar, euro, Chinese renminbi, Japanese yen and pound sterling; the largest ever allocation, SDR 456.5 billion (about US$650 billion), was made in August 2021. Lending facilities include the Stand-By Arrangement, Extended Fund Facility, Rapid Financing Instrument, and the Poverty Reduction and Growth Trust facilities for low-income countries; conditionality attaches. India drew on the IMF in 1981 and 1991 and repaid; its quota under the 14th review is about 2.75%, the eighth largest. The World Economic Outlook and the Global Financial Stability Report are its flagship publications.
| Institution | Year | Role |
|---|---|---|
| IBRD — International Bank for Reconstruction and Development | 1944 (operating 1946) | Loans at near-market rates to middle-income and creditworthy poorer countries; raises funds on capital markets |
| IFC — International Finance Corporation | 1956 | Loans and equity to the private sector in developing countries without government guarantee |
| IDA — International Development Association | 1960 | 'Soft loan window': interest-free credits and grants to the poorest countries; India graduated from IDA in 2014 |
| ICSID — International Centre for Settlement of Investment Disputes | 1966 | Arbitration between foreign investors and host states; India is not a member |
| MIGA — Multilateral Investment Guarantee Agency | 1988 | Political-risk insurance and credit enhancement for FDI |
Key takeaways
- Firms move from domestic through international, multinational and global to transnational (Bartlett and Ghoshal); Smith gave absolute advantage, Ricardo comparative (compare opportunity-cost ratios), Heckscher–Ohlin factor endowment (Leontief paradox), Vernon the product cycle, Krugman new trade theory, Porter the diamond.
- BoP always balances by double entry: current account = goods + services + primary income + secondary income (remittances); FDI, FPI and loans sit in the financial account; reserves absorb the overall balance; Marshall–Lerner and the J-curve govern devaluation.
- FDI = lasting control (10% convention), explained by Dunning's OLI; India uses automatic and government routes under FEMA 1999, policy by DPIIT, Press Note 3 (2020) for land-border countries.
- GATT 1947 → WTO 1 January 1995, Geneva, 166 members (2024); MFN and national treatment; GATT, GATS, TRIPS; Appellate Body stalled since 2019; MC12 Geneva 2022, MC13 Abu Dhabi 2024.
- Export trail: IEC → contract → LC (UCP 600) → shipping bill on ICEGATE → bill of lading (document of title) → negotiation of documents → realisation within nine months; Incoterms 2020: EXW minimum, FOB/CFR/CIF sea-only, DDP maximum; FTP 2023 with RoDTEP, EPCG, SEZ.
- Bretton Woods 1944: IMF (190 members, quotas, SDR basket of five currencies since 2016, BoP lending) and World Bank Group (IBRD 1944, IFC 1956, IDA 1960, ICSID 1966, MIGA 1988); India is a founder of both but not an ICSID member.
Practice questions (11)
Attempt each one before opening the answer. Every explanation names the tempting wrong option as well as the right one, because that is where marks are lost.
The theory of comparative advantage, which shows that trade benefits both countries even when one is more efficient in producing every good, was given by:
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Answer: B — David Ricardo
Ricardo (1817) showed that specialisation by lower opportunity cost benefits both trading partners. Smith gave absolute advantage, Heckscher–Ohlin factor endowment, Vernon the product life cycle theory of trade.The Leontief paradox is an empirical challenge to which theory of trade?
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Answer: C — Heckscher–Ohlin factor endowment theory
Leontief (1953) found the capital-abundant United States exporting labour-intensive goods, contrary to the Heckscher–Ohlin prediction that a country exports goods using its abundant factor intensively.Remittances sent home by Indian workers abroad are recorded in India's balance of payments under:
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Answer: B — Current account, as secondary income (transfers)
Remittances are unrequited current transfers, a credit in the current account's secondary income. Foreign investment sits in the financial account; merchandise covers goods only.According to the Marshall–Lerner condition, devaluation improves a country's trade balance only if:
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Answer: B — The sum of the price elasticities of demand for exports and imports exceeds one
If the elasticities sum to less than one, a cheaper currency raises the import bill more than it lifts export earnings. The J-curve shows the balance worsening at first, before elasticities work through.The World Trade Organization came into existence on:
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Answer: C — 1 January 1995
The Marrakesh Agreement of April 1994 concluded the Uruguay Round and the WTO began operating on 1 January 1995 in Geneva, replacing GATT (1947). It has 166 members after Comoros and Timor-Leste joined in 2024.The WTO principle under which a trade concession granted to one member must be extended to all other members is:
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Answer: B — Most-favoured-nation treatment
MFN forbids discrimination between trading partners; national treatment forbids discrimination between imported and domestic goods once inside the market. Regional trade agreements are a permitted exception to MFN.Which export document serves as a receipt for goods, evidence of the contract of carriage and a document of title?
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Answer: C — Bill of lading
The bill of lading, issued by the shipping company, is the only one of the four that is a document of title; an airway bill is not. The shipping bill is the customs export declaration; the certificate of origin proves where goods were made.Under Incoterms 2020, in a CIF contract the risk of loss passes from seller to buyer:
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Answer: B — When the goods are loaded on board the vessel at the port of shipment
In FOB, CFR and CIF risk passes on loading at the port of shipment; in CIF the seller additionally pays freight and buys minimum insurance to the destination. Risk at the seller's premises is EXW; at destination with duty paid is DDP.The Special Drawing Right of the IMF is currently valued on a basket of how many currencies?
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Answer: C — Five
Since 1 October 2016 the basket holds the US dollar, euro, Chinese renminbi, Japanese yen and pound sterling; it was four currencies before the renminbi joined. The SDR was created in 1969.Which member of the World Bank Group is the 'soft-loan window', extending interest-free credits and grants to the poorest countries?
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Answer: C — IDA
The International Development Association (1960) lends concessionally; IBRD lends at near-market rates, IFC finances the private sector, MIGA insures political risk, and ICSID arbitrates investment disputes. India graduated from IDA in 2014.Which of the following is NOT a determinant in Porter's diamond of national competitive advantage?
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Answer: D — Relative factor endowments of trading partners
Porter's four determinants are factor conditions, demand conditions, related and supporting industries, and firm strategy, structure and rivalry, with chance and government as outside influences. Relative factor endowments belong to Heckscher–Ohlin.